Here's my thought...
1. Picnic Bunnies - have a solid core north of O55, and I think they have some experienced players Swim
2. Rabid - have a good handle on O55, but with all the alliances around them such as Empire of Death, Chiguanas, and more, they will eventually fall. Float then Sink
3. Chiguanas - well experienced, seem to be dominating the rankings in different categories, I think they will run for the top spot. Swim
4. You Mad Bro? - newer alliance, seem to have some experience, but are very spread out. They seems to have 3 different cores, one in O55/54, one in O45, and one in O44. For sure Sink
5. Empire of Death - seemed experience, they suceeded in US41, but eventually fell, so I think they will fall in the end again. They have a shot, but I don't think they will come through in the end. Float
6. Gypsy Rising - some experience, but they have a bit of a spread...I think they will be forced into O65 and core there but won't succeed in the end game. Float
7. Reborn Basterds - My sister alliance, so can't judge.
8. SeeD - Don't have much to say, except they aren't going to survive. They will be taken out by one of the main O55 alliance, and we scatter. Float Shortly, then Sink
9. Death from above - some experience, they are in a tough position with the Chiguanas. I think they will be pushed in O45 and stay there for a while. Float
10. Guardians of Valhalla - have some experience, solid core in Southwest of O55, I think they will have a fight ahead of them, but they will come through. Swim
11. HYDRA - they are going head to head with Picnic Bunnies, and they aren't going to win. Unless they work East, they have ZERO chance against Picnic Bunnies. Sink
12. VOodoO - almost the same as HYDRA, they are going to fight Picnic Bunnies and most likely lose, unless HYDRA and VOodoO partner up and maybe they will have chance. Sink