Fight Club:Swim Then Sink
FC is a really good group with a lot of heavy hitters in there alliance not to mention the some of them won Marathon....But a they have a huge battle in o54 to win, so that's were my doubts begin. Another issue FC has, is that they pact mates aren't very helpful to them and are dragging them down, they are constantly trying to break allies sieges (many time a day). The Militia (losing its war), Army Of Dead (same story), MW pretty good group but they aren't really committed to this world (playing in like 3 others). While they can overcome these things it will be hard.
The Wicked Few:
(my alliance won't comment)
Fluff and Stuff: Swim/Float
They will have to battle it out in o54 with FC and co. are doing well thus far if they keep it up don't see them having an issue winning there war but anything can happen its a toss up but see them coming out on top. They also dont have any pacts weighing them down so that is a huge plus for them. (to my knowledge)
Kill:Swim
They went from killing MRAs to just killing everything
but in all seriousness great group of fighters! they do have the Templar's in there ocean (not sure if they are friends or enemies) but either way I see them locking down O44. And depending on where they go from there, will be interesting.
Army of Dead:Float then Sink
They have decent positioning and a decent core but they will lose the wars they are fighting ultimately o55 in the process, they are strong believer in strength in numbers (have bout 5 pacts if not more) but really not working out for them. I give them a month before they collapse.
Lightning Death:Sinking
Yeah not much to say here! A part of the 6 pact coalition of AOD but once again not helping them much. They keep losing members and cities daily but they are an MRA and have them replaced by nights end. But eventually they will run out of players to recruit and alliances to run to for help.
Templar's: Float
One of the harder ones to judge! They are a solid group with a good core in northern o44, if they keep pushing north I see them being around for a while if they decided to war with Kill (once again don't know status) then dont see that being the case. It would be a good war but think in the end they would lose.
Memento Mori: Swim/Float
Pretty similar situation to Temps but I think they are a better alliance, good players and core. They were one of my "underrated alliances" and stand corrected here. They are on the rise and think they will make it into the top 5 pretty soon. Depending on the moves that make I see them being here for a while as well. One bad thing I will point out is the fact they are pacted with LD (so I have been told by members) its a very weird pact if true and makes you wonder who there other allies are.
TRR:Sink
Have a few decent islands to themselves almost, but thats about the only thing going for them. They have mass recruited members as of late, and those are just failed members of failed alliances. So see them sinking in the near future!
The Militia:Sink then merge
They are just an extension of FC but are losing cities daily. They will sink and them some will merge with FC they rest will jump ship elsewhere.
MW: Sink then merge
Ummm usually a good group but they will sink I am guessing they aren't taking this world seriously because they are playing in so many others. I could see them and militia possible merging they are already allies and they won't be able to run FC so....