Haven't done one of these in a while, but I like that people are talking in the forums, again, so I'll do a top 12 (aka an analysis of the multiple coalitions that seem to have formed)
1. WDM/WTS: SWIM
The obvious leader in points, ABP, DBP, BP in general, 4 of the top 5 players in Kos, need I go on? They are definite favorites at this point. I don't know what their internal politics looks like, but that's always something that a lot of players overlook when doing top 12's. I doubt there are internal issues, but they can always tear and alliance apart.
2. Eviction/Reposession: SWIM
The number 2 leaders in points, ABP, and BP in general. They are a little lower on the list for DBP. I may be over analyzing, but I know WDM has both great attacking numbers and great defensive numbers. I don't know that Eviction has faced a big threat in a while; maybe their defense is their weak point? They are looking good otherwise. They have room to expand east and possibly north depending on their diplomacy
3. The Havoc, Elite, Ocean, Band conglomerate: Float
Before members of this coalition jump down my throat, hear me out. The main reason I say float is the fact that you has so many players. SOOOOOOO MANY. That means you have a lot of people to look out for and a lot of ways that eviction and WDM can worm their way into your lines and widdle you down. Are you high in points, absolutely. Are you high in BP, of course. Do I think you will be rolled over? Not at all, i think you will need to trim some fat. Once you do that, I think you are a very solid third and may be able to make a run at the top with some crafty diplomacy with either of the top 2 against the other
4. Top Gun/Blue Angels: Float
Kinda like Havoc in the regard that they need to trim fat. They have some great players and a few monsters in their ranks, but they also have a lot of lead pulling them down. They need to get rid of the weight and I think they will make it to the end. They have an NAP with Eviction and have the entire northwest to themselves. With that all said, they don't exactly have a lot of food once the remnants of BotRH are eaten. I am curious how they plan on getting more BP as they are quite low for their points.
5. The Pound: Float/Swim
I honestly wish I knew more about these guys, but I don't, so I will go off of points and what I have heard. They are in a good spot, decent points, decent BP and ABP. Their lack of DBP tells me they haven't really faced any threats, which is both a blessing and a curse. They will be able to keep doing their thing in the south, but if one of the big guys looks their direction, they may have a problem. They, like Havoc and Top Gun, need to trim their fat....probably more than the other two. They have some big guys at the top but are quite top heavy, which doesn't always bode well.
6. Bunny Killers: Float/Sink
These guys either need to find someone to work with in the top 5 groups or they need to run far and fast. They are getting chased down hard and I don't know that WDM is going to let them go. They do have good players but their BP is kind of disappointing. I know they have been around for only a week, but they are fighting for their lives. Hopefully once they get their stuff together they will be generating more bp, but for now they look like lunch that doesn't want to be eaten
7. The Bucs: My alliance Float
I see us going 1 of 2 ways. Either we go the way of the pound and just keep doing our thing or one of the big guys is going to look at us and think it's lunch time. I don't think that we would roll over and die but our size does not work in our favor against the big guys
I think things are going to stay very quiet until WDM and Eviction get bored and decide to go for each others' throats. That is a fight I am looking forward to watching and maybe even getting involved in. I hope Bunny killers gets it together and maybe forms a coalition with havoc, that may create a third group contending for the top.
Let me know what you think, what I got wrong, and maybe we can get a little insite on if someone is going to flip this world on its head?
