SINK/SWIM - October 22nd 2020
Now that we are a few days out of BP things seem to have settled down a bit (at least enough for me to make a sink/swim). There is a clear line of groups that will have a good amount of influence on how the world plays out (the ones on the map) and rosters have become more solidified after the doubling of the alliance cap. Some larger alliances are not on the map because I believe they will either SINK or not play a major role in the outcome of this world.
1. The Usual Suspects.
Came out of the gates swinging. #1 in all stats (points, attack/def bp) by a healthy margin (NOTE: stats might be off because of doubled alliance cap, but clear contenders regardless). Emerged victorious in the early war with Bad News Bears and later went on to absorb a lot of solid players from them and WTF. Domination of southern 45 is all but assured and the only real question is where they will focus their expansion.
2. Avengers (II?)
Decided to stick with the II (perhaps they will change it later?) which I can respect. Solid roster and solid core positioning in northern 55. Bordered to the north by the Honey Badgers which, depending on how the Badgers defend, could slow their expansion down a bit. Definitely looking to be a dominating force with the combination of their roster and core, and with King's Court separating them from TUS they should have a good amount of time to prepare.
Another good roster but a bit more spread out than the other main groups. Presumably going to be clearing out From the Ashes for dominance of 44 which is a task that seems very achievable for them. Not many hard borders against other big groups (take note of the cities on the Badger island in north 54 though) which should give them the time they need.
4. Honey Badgers
I don't know much about the players there, but their proximity to Avengers is worrying. Likely losing their border cities to Avengers, but if they can solidify their core quickly they could slow/prevent Avengers from expanding into 55. The island they share with Warlords will also be relevant because if they have to divert defense to those cities it will become a lot harder to hold cities against Avengers.
Float for now, probably sink later
5. King's Court
This one is interesting. Their roster has a lot of tried and true revolt players, but their position on the map is incredibly awkward. Stuck between a rock and a hard place with Avengers to the north and The Usual Suspects to the south. A pact with Avengers seems like a necessary condition for this group to survive as it is extremely unlikely that they will be able to fight off TUS and Avengers at the same time. But even with that pact their expansion options are very limited as they presumably can't expand into TUS or Avengers. The south-east seems like the only viable option, but Shawnee (even though they aren't on the map) actually have a pretty strong control on the area.
Float for now, probably absorbed later (honestly idk)